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Household Projections for Scotland, 2010-based

3. Comparison with previous household projections

3.1.1 Household projections for Scotland are published every two years. Figure 6 compares the total number of households projected in the latest (2010-based) household projections, and previous projections. In the past, household projections covered a 14-year period but, in response to demand from users, the 2004-based household projections covered a 20-year period and the 2006, 2008 and 2010-based projections cover a 25-year period.

3.1.2 The 2008-based projections suggested an average increase of around 19,250 households per year between 2008 and 2033 and the 2010-based projections foresee an average increase of around 21,230 households per year between 2010 and 2035. Given that the two sets of projections cover different time periods, it is difficult to compare these figures directly. To provide a more direct comparison, we can select the period of 2010 to 2033, when the 2008-based projections showed an average annual increase of 19,310 households, while the 2010-based projections show an average annual increase of 21,400.

3.1.3 Figure 7 shows the 2008 and 2010-based population and household projections. The 2010-based population projections were higher than the previous set of projections, due to a combination of a higher number of births and higher net migration into Scotland. The household projections are based on the population projections, which is why the 2010-based household projections are higher than the 2008-based projections.

Figure 6: Comparisons with previous household projections (2002, 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010-based)

Figure 6: Comparisons with previous household projections (2002, 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010-based)

Figure 7: 2008 and 2010-based population and household projections

Figure 7: 2008 and 2010-based population and household projections

 

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