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Population and Household Projections for Scotland's Strategic Development Planning Areas (2006-based)

5. Components of population change

5.1 Details of the components of population change can be seen in Tables 4a to 4d.

5.2 In Glasgow & Clyde Valley SDP area, natural change (births minus deaths) is positive to begin with but decreases to a negative value by the end of the projection period, as the number of births is projected to decrease. This, combined with projected net out-migration, leads to a projected long term decrease in total population.

5.3 In Aberdeen City & Shire SDP area, natural change is positive at the beginning of the projection period but decreases to a negative value by the end. However, there is projected to be more in-migration than out-migration during the projection period. These factors combine to give a projected increase in total population to 2028 but a decrease thereafter.

5.4 In SESplan SDP area, positive natural change coupled with net in-migration is projected for 2006-2031. These factors combine to give a total population that is projected to steadily increase throughout the projection period.

5.5 In TAYplan SDP area, negative natural change is projected for 2006-2031. However, this is countered by net in-migration which leads to a projected increase in the total population throughout the projection period.

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