Population Projections Scotland (2006-based): Population Projections by Sex, Age and Administrative Area

Table 3 Projected percentage changes in population (2006-based), by broad age group; council and NHS board areas, selected years

Area	All ages					Children (0-15)					Working Ages¹					Pensionable Ages¹					75+
Area	2011	2016	2021	2026	2031	2011	2016	2021	2026	2031	2011	2016	2021	2026	2031	2011	2016	2021	2026	2031	2011	2016	2021	2026	2031
SCOTLAND	2	3	4	5	5	-3	-3	-2	-4	-7	1	3	3	3	0	7	9	13	18	31	9	21	38	63	81
Council areas
Aberdeen City	1	-1	-3	-6	-9	-1	-1	-4	-14	-25	0	-3	-7	-10	-16	4	6	11	16	28	7	14	23	47	66
Aberdeenshire	5	9	13	16	19	-3	-4	-2	-1	0	4	7	8	10	8	17	29	43	55	76	16	38	70	117	156
Angus	2	3	4	5	5	-2	-3	-5	-8	-10	0	1	1	1	-3	10	15	20	25	37	11	26	46	76	94
Argyll & Bute	0	-1	-1	-1	-1	-10	-16	-16	-15	-15	-1	-1	-2	-4	-9	9	12	15	19	28	10	27	48	76	90
Clackmannanshire	2	4	6	8	9	-3	-4	-2	-3	-4	1	3	4	5	3	12	17	23	28	42	9	27	53	91	111
Dumfries & Galloway	0	0	0	-1	-3	-7	-10	-10	-13	-17	-2	-3	-5	-7	-13	9	13	17	21	32	12	28	49	76	93
Dundee City	-1	-3	-4	-7	-9	-1	0	0	-6	-15	-2	-4	-6	-8	-12	1	-2	-3	-2	5	5	10	15	29	36
East Ayrshire	0	-1	-2	-3	-5	-6	-7	-8	-12	-17	-1	-2	-4	-6	-11	7	9	11	15	26	9	23	41	68	82
East Dunbartonshire	-2	-5	-8	-11	-15	-11	-17	-20	-24	-29	-3	-6	-11	-17	-25	7	9	12	17	26	15	31	48	72	88
East Lothian	4	8	12	17	21	-2	-3	3	9	15	5	11	14	17	17	8	11	16	23	39	9	21	39	65	84
East Renfrewshire	-1	0	0	0	0	-7	-10	-9	-6	-6	-1	0	-1	-4	-9	7	8	13	19	32	13	26	40	62	80
Edinburgh, City of	5	8	12	15	17	2	8	13	10	5	6	10	13	16	18	3	3	6	11	24	4	9	16	36	51
Eilean Siar	0	-1	-2	-4	-6	-3	-7	-11	-19	-26	-2	-3	-5	-6	-12	6	8	11	14	24	6	16	29	52	67
Falkirk	2	4	6	8	8	-1	-1	-2	-6	-9	2	4	6	8	6	8	11	15	19	34	9	25	44	73	89
Fife	3	5	8	11	13	-2	0	3	4	3	2	4	6	8	8	10	14	19	24	37	10	23	45	74	93
Glasgow City	1	1	0	0	-1	-1	1	2	-4	-12	3	3	3	3	0	-5	-11	-11	-8	3	-1	-1	-1	7	19
Highland	3	6	8	10	11	-2	-3	-3	-5	-8	2	4	4	5	2	13	20	28	36	51	15	33	58	93	120
Inverclyde	-3	-5	-8	-12	-15	-7	-11	-13	-20	-28	-4	-6	-11	-15	-22	3	3	3	6	16	6	14	26	44	56
Midlothian	0	-1	-2	-3	-4	-5	-9	-9	-10	-12	-1	-1	-4	-6	-11	8	11	13	16	26	12	26	46	74	88
Moray	1	1	0	0	-2	-9	-16	-16	-18	-20	1	1	-2	-4	-10	10	15	21	26	39	15	32	53	83	104
North Ayrshire	0	0	-1	-1	-3	-6	-7	-8	-11	-16	-2	-3	-4	-6	-10	9	12	16	20	31	11	29	50	79	96
North Lanarkshire	1	2	3	4	4	-1	-2	-2	-5	-8	1	2	2	2	0	7	8	13	18	31	13	29	48	72	92
Orkney Islands	4	7	10	13	15	-4	-5	-3	-4	-5	3	6	7	9	6	12	21	29	38	56	9	32	61	97	126
Perth & Kinross	5	9	14	18	22	-1	1	6	11	14	5	9	13	16	17	11	16	23	29	42	11	26	48	78	99
Renfrewshire	-1	-2	-4	-6	-8	-4	-5	-6	-11	-16	-2	-3	-6	-8	-14	4	4	4	7	18	7	19	32	53	65
Scottish Borders	3	6	10	13	16	-2	-1	2	4	6	2	5	8	10	9	10	14	20	27	41	8	23	44	74	94
Shetland Islands	-1	-2	-4	-6	-10	-7	-11	-15	-24	-31	-4	-7	-11	-13	-21	13	22	30	35	51	10	28	58	94	121
South Ayrshire	0	0	0	0	-1	-5	-7	-6	-8	-10	-1	-2	-3	-5	-9	7	9	13	17	26	10	22	41	64	80
South Lanarkshire	2	4	6	8	9	-3	-3	-1	-2	-3	2	5	6	7	5	7	10	16	23	36	13	29	47	72	94
Stirling	4	6	8	10	12	-1	-1	1	3	3	3	6	8	9	8	9	13	16	20	32	14	30	49	77	93
West Dunbartonshire	-1	-2	-4	-6	-9	-7	-9	-9	-14	-21	0	-1	-5	-8	-13	2	1	3	7	18	4	9	20	39	55
West Lothian	5	10	14	18	22	0	1	5	8	11	5	10	13	17	17	13	21	29	38	58	18	45	78	118	146
NHS board areas
Ayrshire & Arran	0	0	-1	-2	-3	-6	-7	-7	-10	-15	-1	-2	-4	-5	-10	7	10	14	17	28	10	25	44	70	86
Borders	3	6	10	13	16	-2	-1	2	4	6	2	5	8	10	9	10	14	20	27	41	8	23	44	74	94
Dumfries & Galloway	0	0	0	-1	-3	-7	-10	-10	-13	-17	-2	-3	-5	-7	-13	9	13	17	21	32	12	28	49	76	93
Fife	3	5	8	11	13	-2	0	3	4	3	2	4	6	8	8	10	14	19	24	37	10	23	45	74	93
Forth Valley	3	5	7	8	9	-2	-2	-1	-3	-5	2	4	6	8	6	9	13	16	21	35	11	27	47	77	94
Grampian	3	4	4	5	4	-3	-5	-5	-8	-12	2	2	1	0	-5	11	18	27	35	51	12	28	49	83	111
Greater Glasgow & Clyde	0	-1	-1	-3	-4	-4	-4	-4	-8	-14	1	1	-1	-2	-6	0	-2	-1	2	14	4	10	17	32	46
Highland	2	4	5	7	7	-4	-7	-7	-8	-10	1	2	2	2	-1	11	17	24	30	44	13	31	55	87	110
Lanarkshire	2	3	4	5	6	-2	-3	-2	-4	-6	1	3	3	4	1	8	10	15	21	35	14	32	50	76	97
Lothian	4	8	11	14	16	0	3	7	7	6	5	9	12	15	15	6	8	12	18	32	8	17	31	56	74
Orkney	4	7	10	13	15	-4	-5	-3	-4	-5	3	6	7	9	6	12	21	29	38	56	9	32	61	97	126
Shetland	-1	-2	-4	-6	-10	-7	-11	-15	-24	-31	-4	-7	-11	-13	-21	13	22	30	35	51	10	28	58	94	121
Tayside	2	3	5	5	6	-1	0	1	0	-3	1	2	3	3	0	7	10	13	17	28	9	20	36	60	76
Western Isles	0	-1	-2	-4	-6	-3	-7	-11	-19	-26	-2	-3	-5	-6	-12	6	8	11	14	24	6	16	29	52	67

¹ Pensionable age is 65 for men, 60 for women until 2010; between 2010 and 2020 pensionable age for women increases to 65.

Between 2024 and 2046, state pension age will increase in three stages from 65 years to 68 years for both sexes.

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