Population Projections Scotland (2006-based): Population Projections by Sex, Age and Administrative Area

Table 6 Comparison between principal and high migration variant population projections, by Council and NHS board Areas, 2011-2031

Area	2011		2016		2021		2026		2031		% difference between principal and high migration variant projections in 2031
Area	Principal	High migration	Principal	High migration	Principal	High migration	Principal	High migration	Principal	High migration
SCOTLAND	5,205,613	5,245,876	5,270,249	5,359,832	5,326,398	5,469,200	5,362,774	5,561,047	5,373,569	5,628,350	5%
Council areas
Aberdeen City	207,972	211,801	204,933	212,694	200,587	212,551	194,730	211,041	187,721	208,440	11%
Aberdeenshire	248,016	250,057	257,171	261,582	266,009	272,918	274,071	283,661	280,532	292,843	4%
Angus	111,407	112,144	112,704	114,316	113,712	116,281	114,329	117,902	114,396	119,000	4%
Argyll & Bute	90,939	91,453	90,852	92,418	90,892	93,670	90,759	94,834	90,020	95,451	6%
Clackmannanshire	49,967	50,353	50,984	51,679	51,933	52,920	52,739	54,019	53,245	54,817	3%
Dumfries & Galloway	147,683	148,408	147,658	149,977	147,301	151,370	146,208	152,124	144,061	151,890	5%
Dundee City	140,710	142,087	138,517	141,374	136,033	140,499	132,836	138,982	129,131	136,953	6%
East Ayrshire	118,823	119,360	118,236	119,382	117,424	119,227	116,004	118,488	113,780	116,945	3%
East Dunbartonshire	103,023	103,560	100,260	101,398	97,234	98,996	93,647	96,045	89,297	92,389	3%
East Lothian	96,934	97,706	100,454	101,800	104,389	106,319	108,566	111,064	112,492	115,547	3%
East Renfrewshire	88,780	88,882	88,937	89,515	89,258	90,455	89,465	91,363	89,223	91,837	3%
Edinburgh, City of	484,845	492,087	501,589	517,788	517,266	543,032	530,953	566,589	543,020	588,685	8%
Eilean Siar	26,234	26,516	26,058	26,658	25,793	26,708	25,406	26,645	24,892	26,433	6%
Falkirk	153,117	153,761	156,272	157,781	158,904	161,368	160,949	164,422	162,318	166,819	3%
Fife	368,440	370,534	378,413	383,632	388,407	396,949	397,263	409,304	404,292	419,894	4%
Glasgow City	584,950	591,911	584,789	598,497	583,412	604,319	579,351	607,698	573,227	609,061	6%
Highland	222,495	224,268	227,868	232,208	232,444	239,496	236,036	245,935	238,319	251,091	5%
Inverclyde	79,188	79,477	77,071	77,667	74,805	75,746	72,093	73,412	68,941	70,642	2%
Midlothian	79,432	79,897	78,782	79,613	78,093	79,259	77,169	78,687	75,813	77,680	2%
Moray	87,647	88,672	87,420	89,567	87,070	90,486	86,413	91,192	85,060	91,312	7%
North Ayrshire	134,950	135,212	135,008	136,015	134,661	136,564	133,592	136,410	131,622	135,426	3%
North Lanarkshire	327,635	328,319	331,263	333,115	334,071	337,183	335,602	340,013	335,791	341,508	2%
Orkney Islands	20,539	20,594	21,193	21,246	21,790	21,820	22,305	22,255	22,686	22,544	-1%
Perth & Kinross	147,223	148,587	153,314	156,125	159,631	163,998	165,686	171,676	171,062	178,709	4%
Renfrewshire	167,883	168,527	165,628	167,110	163,010	165,469	159,719	163,177	155,636	160,143	3%
Scottish Borders	113,443	113,857	117,057	118,505	120,816	123,403	124,388	128,141	127,390	132,341	4%
Shetland Islands	21,599	21,615	21,384	21,687	20,995	21,623	20,476	21,428	19,783	21,071	7%
South Ayrshire	111,608	112,079	111,688	113,006	111,710	113,949	111,330	114,540	110,293	114,503	4%
South Lanarkshire	314,743	315,963	321,381	324,306	327,503	332,275	332,585	339,306	336,237	344,953	3%
Stirling	90,950	92,055	92,901	95,202	94,891	98,485	96,641	101,574	97,954	104,243	6%
West Dunbartonshire	90,260	90,791	89,015	90,149	87,607	89,436	85,699	88,304	83,221	86,623	4%
West Lothian	174,178	175,343	181,449	183,820	188,747	192,426	195,764	200,816	202,114	208,557	3%
NHS board areas
Ayrshire & Arran	365,381	366,651	364,932	368,403	363,795	369,740	360,926	369,438	355,695	366,874	3%
Borders	113,450	113,864	117,064	118,512	120,823	123,410	124,395	128,148	127,397	132,348	4%
Dumfries & Galloway	147,683	148,408	147,658	149,977	147,301	151,370	146,208	152,124	144,061	151,890	5%
Fife	368,368	370,462	378,341	383,560	388,335	396,877	397,191	409,232	404,220	419,822	4%
Forth Valley	293,697	295,832	299,820	304,325	305,391	312,436	309,992	319,678	313,180	325,542	4%
Grampian	543,634	550,529	549,523	563,842	553,665	575,954	555,213	585,893	553,312	592,594	7%
Greater Glasgow & Clyde	1,189,526	1,198,838	1,182,959	1,202,193	1,174,413	1,204,505	1,160,771	1,202,212	1,141,832	1,194,848	5%
Highland	313,435	315,722	318,721	324,627	323,337	333,167	326,796	340,770	328,340	346,543	6%
Lanarkshire	567,399	569,055	575,848	580,027	582,950	589,837	587,853	597,569	590,204	602,771	2%
Lothian	835,369	845,013	862,254	883,001	888,475	921,016	912,432	957,136	933,419	990,449	6%
Orkney	20,539	20,594	21,193	21,246	21,790	21,820	22,305	22,255	22,686	22,544	-1%
Shetland	21,599	21,615	21,384	21,687	20,995	21,623	20,478	21,428	19,783	21,071	7%
Tayside	399,299	402,777	404,494	411,774	409,335	420,737	412,810	428,519	414,548	434,621	5%
Western Isles	26,234	26,516	26,058	26,658	25,793	26,708	25,406	26,645	24,892	26,433	6%

Corrected: 27 January 2011
Note: This correction only effects the 2016 high migration data for council areas, and the high migration figures for Greater Glasgow & Clyde. All changes are less than one per cent compared with what was previously published.

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