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Population Projections Scotland (2008-based)

Table 3 Projected percentage change in population (2008-based), by broad age group, council and NHS board areas, selected years

Area

All ages

Children (0-15)

Working Ages1

Pensionable Ages1

75+

2013

2018

2023

2028

2033

2013

2018

2023

2028

2033

2013

2018

2023

2028

2033

2013

2018

2023

2028

2033

2013

2018

2023

2028

2033

SCOTLAND

2

4

5

7

7

-1

1

2

0

-2

2

4

4

4

2

4

6

14

19

31

10

23

45

64

84

Council areas

Aberdeen City

2

3

4

4

4

3

7

7

1

-5

2

2

1

2

0

2

3

11

16

27

6

13

28

46

66

Aberdeenshire

5

9

14

18

22

-1

0

4

7

11

4

9

10

13

13

12

21

36

46

65

16

39

76

111

147

Angus

2

4

5

7

8

-1

-1

0

0

0

1

2

2

2

-1

7

10

18

24

34

13

29

56

79

95

Argyll & Bute

-1

-2

-3

-4

-6

-11

-15

-13

-12

-14

-1

-2

-6

-9

-14

5

5

11

13

20

12

30

55

71

84

Clackmannanshire

5

10

15

20

24

3

8

13

14

17

4

10

14

19

20

8

11

20

27

44

15

32

65

91

113

Dumfries & Galloway

1

1

1

0

-1

-4

-4

-3

-5

-8

0

-1

-4

-6

-11

6

8

14

18

26

13

30

55

74

88

Dundee City

0

-1

-2

-3

-5

3

7

7

0

-8

0

-2

-4

-6

-9

-1

-4

-1

1

8

7

12

24

32

43

East Ayrshire

1

1

1

1

-0

-2

-1

-1

-4

-8

1

1

-1

-2

-7

4

5

11

15

27

11

25

50

70

85

East Dunbartonshire

-1

-3

-6

-9

-13

-9

-14

-16

-20

-26

-1

-3

-9

-15

-22

4

5

12

17

25

15

30

51

67

86

East Lothian

7

13

20

27

33

2

8

19

29

38

9

16

21

26

29

6

9

19

27

43

11

26

52

73

95

East Renfrewshire

0

-1

-1

-2

-3

-7

-10

-11

-11

-12

1

1

-3

-6

-12

3

3

12

18

29

12

23

41

56

77

Edinburgh, City of

4

8

11

14

17

3

9

11

6

1

4

9

11

15

17

2

2

10

17

31

5

11

27

44

63

Eilean Siar

-1

-2

-2

-3

-4

-6

-9

-12

-16

-17

-2

-3

-5

-7

-12

4

6

12

15

24

8

21

40

59

72

Falkirk

3

6

8

11

13

1

3

3

1

1

3

6

8

11

10

5

7

15

21

35

12

29

53

75

93

Fife

2

5

7

9

10

-1

2

4

3

2

2

4

4

5

4

7

9

18

24

37

11

27

55

77

98

Glasgow City

1

2

2

2

1

1

5

4

-2

-9

3

4

3

4

2

-6

-11

-6

-1

11

-1

-1

4

12

28

Highland

4

8

12

15

18

0

3

6

7

8

3

7

8

10

9

9

16

28

35

50

15

36

66

96

122

Inverclyde

-2

-5

-9

-13

-18

-5

-8

-12

-20

-29

-3

-7

-13

-18

-26

1

0

5

9

18

6

15

30

45

59

Midlothian

2

3

3

4

3

-1

-1

0

-2

-3

2

2

1

0

-3

7

9

16

21

31

15

30

60

82

99

Moray

1

2

3

3

3

-7

-8

-6

-6

-6

2

2

0

-1

-6

7

10

18

24

36

16

34

61

83

103

North Ayrshire

0

0

-1

-2

-4

-4

-4

-6

-11

-15

0

-2

-5

-7

-12

5

7

14

17

27

11

29

55

75

92

North Lanarkshire

1

2

3

3

3

0

1

0

-3

-5

1

2

1

1

-2

3

4

12

17

30

13

28

50

69

90

Orkney Islands

2

5

8

11

12

-4

-2

-1

-1

-1

2

4

4

5

1

8

15

26

35

51

16

42

73

102

129

Perth & Kinross

5

11

16

22

27

0

4

12

20

24

6

12

16

21

23

7

11

20

26

39

12

28

55

78

97

Renfrewshire

0

-1

-2

-3

-5

-1

-1

-2

-6

-11

0

-1

-4

-7

-12

2

1

6

11

21

11

23

41

56

71

Scottish Borders

4

7

10

13

16

-1

1

4

6

9

4

7

8

10

8

7

11

21

27

41

10

29

58

82

102

Shetland Islands

0

-1

-2

-4

-7

-6

-11

-17

-25

-33

-1

-4

-8

-11

-18

12

19

31

38

52

16

41

74

108

132

South Ayrshire

0

0

0

0

-1

-3

-2

-1

-3

-5

-1

-1

-4

-5

-9

3

4

10

13

21

11

23

43

59

74

South Lanarkshire

2

4

6

8

9

-1

0

2

2

2

2

4

4

5

3

4

6

16

23

35

13

28

50

70

94

Stirling

1

3

4

6

7

-5

-6

-5

-2

-1

2

4

4

4

1

6

8

15

19

31

13

31

57

78

92

West Dunbartonshire

-1

-2

-4

-6

-8

-3

-2

-3

-9

-15

-1

-2

-6

-9

-14

0

-2

4

7

17

2

7

24

37

55

West Lothian

5

9

14

19

23

1

4

7

11

16

5

10

13

16

16

10

16

28

39

59

22

51

89

122

151

NHS board areas

Ayrshire & Arran

0

0

0

-1

-2

-3

-3

-3

-6

-10

0

-1

-3

-5

-9

4

6

12

15

25

11

26

49

68

83

Borders

4

7

10

13

16

-1

1

4

6

9

4

7

8

10

8

7

11

21

27

41

10

29

58

82

102

Dumfries & Galloway

1

1

1

0

-1

-4

-4

-3

-5

-8

0

-1

-4

-6

-11

6

8

14

18

26

13

30

55

74

88

Fife

2

5

7

9

10

-1

2

4

3

2

2

4

4

5

4

7

9

18

24

37

11

27

55

77

98

Forth Valley

3

6

8

11

13

0

1

3

3

3

3

6

8

10

9

6

8

16

22

35

13

30

56

79

97

Grampian

3

6

8

11

12

-1

1

3

3

2

3

5

5

6

5

7

12

24

31

46

12

28

54

81

107

Greater Glasgow & Clyde

0

0

0

-1

-2

-2

-1

-1

-6

-12

1

1

-1

-2

-5

-2

-4

2

7

18

5

10

22

34

52

Highland

3

5

7

9

11

-3

-2

0

1

2

2

4

4

5

2

8

12

22

28

40

14

34

63

88

110

Lanarkshire

1

3

4

5

5

-1

0

0

-2

-3

1

3

2

2

0

4

5

14

20

33

14

30

52

72

94

Lothian

4

8

12

15

19

2

6

10

10

9

5

9

12

15

16

5

7

16

23

38

10

21

43

64

85

Orkney

2

5

8

11

12

-4

-2

-1

-1

-1

2

4

4

5

1

8

15

26

35

51

16

42

73

102

129

Shetland

0

-1

-2

-4

-7

-6

-11

-17

-25

-33

-1

-4

-8

-11

-18

12

19

31

38

52

16

41

74

108

132

Tayside

3

5

7

9

10

0

4

7

7

6

2

4

5

6

5

5

6

13

17

27

10

23

44

62

78

Western Isles

-1

-2

-2

-3

-4

-6

-9

-12

-16

-17

-2

-3

-5

-7

-12

4

6

12

15

24

8

21

40

59

72

 

1 Pensionable age is 65 for men, 60 for women until 2010; between 2010 and 2020 pensionable age for women increases to 65.
Between 2024 and 2046, state pension age will increase in three stages from 65 years to 68 years for both sexes.

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