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Population Projections Scotland (2008-based)

Table 6 Comparison between principal, high and low migration variant population projections, by council and NHS board areas, 2013-2033

Area	2013			2018			2023			2028			2033			% difference between principal and low migration variant projections in 2033	% difference between principal and high migration variant projections in 2033	Low Migration Projected %change (2008-2033)	High Migration Projected %change (2008-2033)
Area	Low migration	Principal	High migration	Low migration	Principal	High migration	Low migration	Principal	High migration	Low migration	Principal	High migration	Low migration	Principal	High migration			Low Migration Projected %change (2008-2033)	High Migration Projected %change (2008-2033)
SCOTLAND	5,230,750	5,271,006	5,311,243	5,270,333	5,359,837	5,449,350	5,299,471	5,442,289	5,585,126	5,306,820	5,505,283	5,703,772	5,289,198	5,544,410	5,799,623	5%	5%	2%	12%
Council areas
Aberdeen City	210,259	214,409	216,147	208,284	217,079	220,873	205,193	219,012	225,053	200,665	219,750	228,133	195,181	219,630	230,403	11%	5%	-7%	10%
Aberdeenshire	252,272	252,794	255,482	262,017	263,895	269,276	271,825	275,248	283,485	280,947	285,982	297,244	288,600	295,353	309,709	2%	5%	20%	28%
Angus	112,313	112,420	113,365	113,966	114,339	116,436	115,566	116,211	119,613	116,853	117,768	122,525	117,548	118,774	124,961	1%	5%	7%	13%
Argyll & Bute	88,628	89,248	89,671	86,810	88,531	89,998	84,952	87,904	90,568	82,737	86,992	90,905	79,790	85,383	90,578	7%	6%	-12%	0%
Clackmannanshire	52,825	52,879	53,356	55,076	55,416	56,216	57,305	57,942	59,095	59,409	60,367	61,870	61,273	62,577	64,406	2%	3%	21%	28%
Dumfries & Galloway	148,112	149,423	150,695	146,616	149,624	152,612	144,773	149,610	154,444	142,180	148,899	155,673	138,485	147,138	155,918	6%	6%	-7%	5%
Dundee City	140,519	142,672	143,670	137,648	141,604	144,066	134,212	140,108	144,162	130,022	137,895	143,629	125,408	135,229	142,712	7%	6%	-12%	0%
East Ayrshire	119,992	120,945	121,682	119,458	121,360	122,702	118,670	121,551	123,551	117,156	121,093	123,769	114,862	119,901	123,266	4%	3%	-4%	3%
East Dunbartonshire	102,336	103,379	103,424	99,363	101,155	101,451	96,034	98,590	99,202	92,070	95,445	96,418	87,327	91,557	92,906	5%	1%	-17%	-11%
East Lothian	101,712	102,754	104,311	106,677	108,641	110,971	112,344	115,186	118,324	118,199	121,916	125,855	123,704	128,279	133,011	4%	4%	29%	38%
East Renfrewshire	88,348	88,975	89,050	87,232	88,489	88,872	86,092	88,019	88,753	84,700	87,368	88,404	82,731	86,183	87,492	4%	2%	-7%	-2%
Edinburgh, City of	483,640	489,318	495,271	493,058	507,233	521,791	500,239	523,627	547,520	505,082	538,003	571,663	508,345	550,932	594,519	8%	8%	8%	26%
Eilean Siar	25,860	25,869	26,089	25,507	25,763	26,298	25,103	25,628	26,499	24,603	25,440	26,638	23,945	25,136	26,669	5%	6%	-9%	2%
Falkirk	155,864	155,919	156,971	160,024	160,239	162,723	164,003	164,380	168,354	167,590	168,050	173,579	170,699	171,211	178,332	0%	4%	13%	18%
Fife	368,589	370,326	372,752	374,168	378,934	384,555	379,133	387,214	396,315	382,343	393,868	406,637	383,543	398,608	415,066	4%	4%	6%	15%
Glasgow City	581,630	590,733	595,218	576,148	594,085	604,122	568,203	595,861	611,862	557,264	595,141	617,308	544,335	592,672	621,108	8%	5%	-7%	6%
Highland	227,682	228,467	231,452	234,412	236,757	242,997	240,846	244,748	254,494	246,518	251,953	265,388	251,041	257,965	275,133	3%	7%	14%	25%
Inverclyde	78,223	78,803	78,966	75,376	76,363	77,031	72,228	73,612	74,886	68,569	70,372	72,274	64,415	66,611	69,150	3%	4%	-20%	-14%
Midlothian	81,238	82,253	82,830	81,134	82,839	83,742	80,936	83,335	84,564	80,390	83,484	85,034	79,383	83,187	85,073	5%	2%	-1%	6%
Moray	87,984	88,971	89,970	87,426	89,580	91,986	86,840	90,245	94,209	85,864	90,610	96,233	84,212	90,324	97,682	7%	8%	-4%	11%
North Ayrshire	135,178	136,124	136,814	133,628	135,516	137,074	131,620	134,487	136,954	128,816	132,714	136,167	125,115	130,072	134,526	4%	3%	-8%	-1%
North Lanarkshire	328,099	329,610	330,440	329,567	332,635	334,838	330,255	334,956	338,680	329,578	335,966	341,302	327,673	335,783	342,761	2%	2%	1%	5%
Orkney Islands	20,265	20,375	20,487	20,566	20,956	21,085	20,772	21,501	21,614	20,877	21,989	22,051	20,799	22,301	22,289	7%	0%	5%	12%
Perth & Kinross	151,685	152,070	154,976	158,758	159,678	165,280	166,245	167,740	176,107	173,560	175,648	186,847	180,268	182,903	196,971	1%	8%	25%	37%
Renfrewshire	168,308	169,618	170,256	166,008	168,295	169,848	163,218	166,572	169,145	159,594	164,082	167,786	155,182	160,872	165,751	4%	3%	-9%	-2%
Scottish Borders	115,441	116,491	118,068	117,673	120,124	122,955	119,938	123,906	128,028	121,843	127,348	132,802	123,072	130,134	136,897	5%	5%	9%	22%
Shetland Islands	21,751	22,023	22,251	21,234	21,843	22,403	20,518	21,523	22,465	19,582	21,034	22,413	18,415	20,338	22,170	9%	9%	-16%	1%
South Ayrshire	111,008	111,526	112,001	110,210	111,585	112,644	109,297	111,601	113,315	107,946	111,250	113,669	106,028	110,337	113,470	4%	3%	-5%	2%
South Lanarkshire	315,277	315,446	316,460	320,684	322,163	324,596	325,705	328,707	332,713	329,659	334,324	339,945	332,318	338,657	345,916	2%	2%	7%	12%
Stirling	88,924	89,512	90,072	89,419	90,830	92,524	89,996	92,297	95,271	90,353	93,555	97,888	90,202	94,329	100,096	4%	6%	2%	13%
West Dunbartonshire	89,451	90,025	90,193	87,947	88,909	89,611	86,211	87,615	88,892	83,963	85,849	87,719	81,303	83,670	86,180	3%	3%	-11%	-5%
West Lothian	177,337	177,629	178,853	184,239	185,377	187,774	191,199	193,353	196,989	197,888	201,128	206,004	203,996	208,364	214,502	2%	3%	20%	27%
NHS board areas
Ayrshire & Arran	366,178	368,595	370,497	363,296	368,461	372,420	359,587	367,639	373,820	353,918	365,057	373,605	346,005	360,310	371,262	4%	3%	-6%	1%
Borders	115,441	116,491	118,068	117,673	120,124	122,955	119,938	123,906	128,028	121,843	127,348	132,802	123,072	130,134	136,897	5%	5%	9%	22%
Dumfries & Galloway	148,112	149,423	150,695	146,616	149,624	152,612	144,773	149,610	154,444	142,180	148,899	155,673	138,485	147,138	155,918	6%	6%	-7%	5%
Fife	368,514	370,251	372,677	374,093	378,859	384,480	379,058	387,139	396,240	382,268	393,793	406,562	383,468	398,533	414,991	4%	4%	6%	15%
Forth Valley	297,260	297,957	300,046	304,166	306,132	311,110	310,951	314,266	322,367	316,999	321,619	332,984	321,821	327,764	342,481	2%	4%	11%	18%
Grampian	550,515	556,174	561,599	557,727	570,554	582,135	563,858	584,505	602,747	567,476	596,342	621,610	567,993	605,307	637,794	6%	5%	5%	18%
Greater Glasgow & Clyde	1,184,797	1,198,174	1,203,965	1,170,235	1,195,934	1,210,122	1,151,845	1,191,009	1,214,394	1,127,544	1,180,990	1,213,906	1,098,025	1,166,109	1,208,748	6%	4%	-8%	1%
Highland	316,310	317,715	321,123	321,222	325,288	332,995	325,798	332,652	345,062	329,255	338,945	356,293	330,831	343,348	365,711	4%	7%	7%	18%
Lanarkshire	567,414	568,954	570,581	572,629	576,699	580,786	576,640	583,462	590,278	578,392	588,096	597,789	577,798	590,435	603,055	2%	2%	3%	7%
Lothian	843,834	851,861	861,172	865,015	883,997	904,185	884,625	915,408	947,304	901,466	944,438	988,463	915,335	970,669	1,027,012	6%	6%	12%	26%
Orkney	20,265	20,375	20,487	20,566	20,956	21,085	20,772	21,501	21,614	20,877	21,989	22,051	20,799	22,301	22,289	7%	0%	5%	12%
Shetland	21,751	22,023	22,251	21,234	21,843	22,403	20,518	21,523	22,465	19,582	21,034	22,413	18,415	20,338	22,170	9%	9%	-16%	1%
Tayside	404,499	407,144	411,993	410,354	415,603	425,764	416,005	424,041	439,864	420,417	431,293	452,983	423,206	436,888	464,626	3%	6%	7%	17%
Western Isles	25,860	25,869	26,089	25,507	25,763	26,298	25,103	25,628	26,499	24,603	25,440	26,638	23,945	25,136	26,669	5%	6%	-9%	2%

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