Table 6: Comparison between principal and variant population projections, by Council and NHS Board areas¹, 2012-2037²

Area	2012	2037								Projected percentage population change (2012-2037)
		Zero migration	Low migration	Low fertility	Low life expectancy	Principal	High life expectancy	High fertility	High migration	Zero migration	Low migration	Low fertility	Low life expectancy	Principal	High life expectancy	High fertility	High migration
Footnotes: April 2014 NHS Board areas. Data for each year of the projection period (2012-2037) for each variant by sex and single year of age is available in the 2012 based sub-national population projection section of the National Records of Scotland website under detailed tables.
Scotland	5,313,600	5,269,945	5,550,629	5,648,533	5,701,685	5,780,371	5,855,738	5,946,838	6,010,034	-1	4	6	7	9	10	12	13
Council areas
Aberdeen City	224,970	224,809	271,065	282,296	285,884	288,788	291,586	296,962	306,173	-0	20	25	27	28	30	32	36
Aberdeenshire	255,540	259,544	291,787	293,234	296,168	299,813	303,189	308,132	308,935	2	14	15	16	17	19	21	21
Angus	116,210	111,903	112,161	112,934	113,439	115,327	117,042	118,307	117,781	-4	-3	-3	-2	-1	1	2	1
Argyll & Bute	86,900	79,813	70,086	73,657	73,801	75,183	76,560	77,231	79,059	-8	-19	-15	-15	-13	-12	-11	-9
Clackmannanshire	51,280	52,721	48,752	48,821	49,215	50,043	50,763	51,492	51,453	3	-5	-5	-4	-2	-1	0	0
Dumfries & Galloway	150,830	141,191	135,218	138,569	139,114	141,619	144,000	145,452	147,854	-6	-10	-8	-8	-6	-5	-4	-2
Dundee City	147,800	148,137	162,698	166,424	168,702	170,811	172,795	176,238	180,399	0	10	13	14	16	17	19	22
East Ayrshire	122,720	120,682	119,227	119,172	120,052	121,928	123,760	125,448	124,615	-2	-3	-3	-2	-1	1	2	2
East Dunbartonshire	105,880	103,940	97,318	96,805	97,215	98,696	100,120	101,074	101,182	-2	-8	-9	-8	-7	-5	-5	-4
East Lothian	100,850	103,048	121,298	121,364	122,802	124,351	125,840	128,069	127,970	2	20	20	22	23	25	27	27
East Renfrewshire	91,030	92,887	92,946	92,376	93,160	94,387	95,607	96,983	96,687	2	2	1	2	4	5	7	6
Edinburgh, City of	482,640	481,182	577,393	605,818	612,919	618,978	624,849	635,545	664,257	-0	20	26	27	28	29	32	38
Eilean Siar	27,560	24,975	23,391	24,142	24,088	24,596	25,032	25,114	26,102	-9	-15	-12	-13	-11	-9	-9	-5
Falkirk	156,800	158,213	170,480	169,109	170,806	173,130	175,391	178,248	176,171	1	9	8	9	10	12	14	12
Fife	366,220	368,017	382,566	388,490	392,341	397,989	403,383	409,900	411,736	0	4	6	7	9	10	12	12
Glasgow City	595,080	592,754	646,692	667,440	676,347	684,744	692,779	706,514	723,017	-0	9	12	14	15	16	19	21
Highland	232,910	226,945	234,238	238,517	239,791	243,493	247,159	249,914	254,269	-3	1	2	3	5	6	7	9
Inverclyde	80,680	75,958	62,646	63,718	63,735	65,014	66,258	66,787	66,469	-6	-22	-21	-21	-19	-18	-17	-18
Midlothian	84,240	86,515	96,327	96,612	97,832	99,090	100,316	102,140	100,522	3	14	15	16	18	19	21	19
Moray	92,910	91,913	86,700	88,888	89,532	90,889	92,244	93,446	95,924	-1	-7	-4	-4	-2	-1	1	3
North Ayrshire	137,560	133,683	122,426	122,656	123,289	125,465	127,588	129,080	128,238	-3	-11	-11	-10	-9	-7	-6	-7
North Lanarkshire	337,870	341,612	331,325	330,032	333,038	338,195	342,999	348,545	342,190	1	-2	-2	-1	0	2	3	1
Orkney Islands	21,530	20,557	21,172	22,302	22,349	22,724	23,014	23,271	24,440	-5	-2	4	4	6	7	8	14
Perth & Kinross	147,740	142,991	174,149	179,512	181,204	183,468	185,765	188,320	191,629	-3	18	22	23	24	26	27	30
Renfrewshire	174,310	170,802	171,422	171,219	172,686	175,382	177,927	180,633	178,404	-2	-2	-2	-1	1	2	4	2
Scottish Borders	113,710	110,025	108,458	111,479	111,887	113,725	115,512	116,593	119,348	-3	-5	-2	-2	0	2	3	5
Shetland Islands	23,210	23,870	23,527	24,537	24,755	25,147	25,460	25,889	26,845	3	1	6	7	8	10	12	16
South Ayrshire	112,910	104,356	106,503	107,929	108,227	110,158	111,990	112,970	112,960	-8	-6	-4	-4	-2	-1	0	0
South Lanarkshire	314,360	310,299	315,136	314,304	316,806	321,653	326,323	330,953	329,775	-1	0	-0	1	2	4	5	5
Stirling	91,020	90,190	100,504	103,579	104,620	105,860	107,063	108,678	110,006	-1	10	14	15	16	18	19	21
West Dunbartonshire	90,340	89,119	81,731	81,064	81,703	83,061	84,418	85,733	84,750	-1	-10	-10	-10	-8	-7	-5	-6
West Lothian	175,990	187,294	191,287	191,534	194,178	196,664	199,006	203,177	200,874	6	9	9	10	12	13	15	14
NHS Board areas1
Ayrshire & Arran	373,190	358,721	348,156	349,757	351,568	357,551	363,338	367,498	365,813	-4	-7	-6	-6	-4	-3	-2	-2
Borders	113,710	110,025	108,458	111,479	111,887	113,725	115,512	116,593	119,348	-3	-5	-2	-2	0	2	3	5
Dumfries & Galloway	150,830	141,191	135,218	138,569	139,114	141,619	144,000	145,452	147,854	-6	-10	-8	-8	-6	-5	-4	-2
Fife	366,220	368,017	382,566	388,490	392,341	397,989	403,383	409,900	411,736	0	4	6	7	9	10	12	12
Forth Valley	299,100	301,124	319,736	321,509	324,641	329,033	333,217	338,418	337,630	1	7	7	9	10	11	13	13
Grampian	573,420	576,266	649,552	664,418	671,584	679,490	687,019	698,540	711,032	0	13	16	17	18	20	22	24
Greater Glasgow & Clyde	1,137,320	1,125,460	1,152,755	1,172,622	1,184,846	1,201,284	1,217,109	1,237,724	1,250,509	-1	1	3	4	6	7	9	10
Highland	319,810	306,758	304,324	312,174	313,592	318,676	323,719	327,145	333,328	-4	-5	-2	-2	-0	1	2	4
Lanarkshire	652,230	651,911	646,461	644,336	649,844	659,848	669,322	679,498	671,965	-0	-1	-1	-0	1	3	4	3
Lothian	843,720	858,039	986,305	1,015,328	1,027,731	1,039,083	1,050,011	1,068,931	1,093,623	2	17	20	22	23	24	27	30
Orkney	21,530	20,557	21,172	22,302	22,349	22,724	23,014	23,271	24,440	-5	-2	4	4	6	7	8	14
Shetland	23,210	23,870	23,527	24,537	24,755	25,147	25,460	25,889	26,845	3	1	6	7	8	10	12	16
Tayside	411,750	403,031	449,008	458,870	463,345	469,606	475,602	482,865	489,809	-2	9	11	13	14	16	17	19
Western Isles	27,560	24,975	23,391	24,142	24,088	24,596	25,032	25,114	26,102	-9	-15	-12	-13	-11	-9	-9	-5