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Analysis of the 1998-Based Household Projections for Scotland Scottish Government Statistical Bulletin Housing Series: HSG/2000/4

Analysis of the 1998-Based Household Projections for Scotland Scottish Government Statistical Bulletin Housing Series: HSG/2000/4

Scottish Government Statistical Bulletin Housing Series: HSG/2000/4

The household projections were produced for seven different household types — those shown in table 2. In some sections, where further breakdowns by age group or local authority are considered, these categories have been grouped. In section 5.4, five main groupings are used, and in section 5.5 four groupings. Section 5.1 also groups to four main categories for summary purposes.

1. Summary information for Scotland (Table 1)

In this section four groupings of household type are used: 1 person, 2 or more adults, 1 adult with children and 2 or more adults with children.

The number of households in Scotland is projected to increase by 12 per cent (260,000) from 2.17 million in 1998 to 2.43 million in 2012.

There were an estimated 691,000 one person households in 1998, 32 per cent of all households. These are projected to increase to 924,000 by the year 2012, and account for 38 per cent of all households.

The private household population is projected to fall from 5.008 million in 1998 to 4.965 million in 2012, in line with the projected fall in total population.

The average household size is projected to fall, from 2.3 persons in 1998 to 2.0 persons in 2012.

The projections indicate a 34 per cent increase in one person households between 1998 and 2012, a 15 per cent increase in households with two or more adults, and a 33 per cent increase in households with one adult with children, offset somewhat by a 34 per cent decrease in households which have two or more adults with children.

Table 1  Summary Information for Scotland

Table 1  Summary Information for Scotland

Table 1

Projected proportions of household types: 1998 and 2012 Chart 4

pie charts

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