National Records of Scotland

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Mid-2015 Small Area Population Estimates for 2011 Data Zones and corrected estimates for mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014

Mid-2015 Small Area Population Estimates for 2011 Data Zones and corrected estimates for mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014

Corrected Small Area Population Estimates for Mid-2012, Mid-2013 and Mid-2014 (2011 Data Zone based)

Background

We became aware of errors in the mid-year population estimates for 2002 to 2014 because of an issue with an input data set used in the calculation of the mid-year estimates, as well as minor unrelated processing errors. The errors had no effect on the total population of Scotland and the 2011 mid-year population estimates were not affected. The error in the 2002 to 2010 population estimates was partly resolved by the retrospective revisions made to these estimates as a result of the 2011 Census and in conjunction with our users we decided not to make any changes to these years. More information on our approach to correcting the errors is detailed in the papers from the November 2015 meeting of the Population and Migration Statistics Committee.

For subnational areas of Scotland the errors only had a very small effect on the total population estimates for council and NHS Board areas. The errors in the (total) council area populations were less than 0.10 per cent in all council areas. In percentage terms, the largest underestimate was 0.07 per cent in Angus and the largest overestimate was 0.09 per cent in Dundee City, both in 2014. In absolute terms, all errors are generally very small; the largest was an overestimate of 130 people for Dundee City.

The errors mainly affected the age distribution of the estimated population in Scotland, particularly in the age range 17 to 25. In percentage terms the largest underestimate in the total estimated population of Scotland for mid-2014 was 1.28 per cent at age 21 and the largest over estimate was 2.28 per cent at age 18.

The following document details the impact of the corrections made to the mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014 estimates by age, sex and administrative area.
Corrections to the mid-2012 to mid-2014 Population Estimates for Scotland (Excel 786 KB)

An error was also discovered with data zone S01009192, which includes Polmont Young Offenders Institution in Falkirk Council area. This affected the previously published estimates for mid-2012 to mid-2014, but not the estimate for mid-2011. This error has also been corrected with the release of the new tables for mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014.

Tables

The files below have been made available as Excel spreadsheets and can be viewed in Comma Separated Value (CSV). When opening the spreadsheet files your browser, depending on how it has been configured, will prompt to either open the file or save it to disk. Maximum file size is 3 MB.

Mid-2014

Table 1a

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2014 (Persons)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 1b

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2014 (Males)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 1c

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2014 (Females)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 2a

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2014 (Persons)
(Excel)

Table 2b

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2014 (Males)
(Excel)

Table 2c

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2014 (Females)
(Excel)

Mid-2013

Table 1a

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2013 (Persons)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 1b

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2013 (Males)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 1c

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2013 (Females)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 2a

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2013 (Persons)
(Excel)

Table 2b

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2013 (Males)
(Excel)

Table 2c

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2013 (Females)
(Excel)

Mid-2012

Table 1a

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2012 (Persons)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 1b

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2012 (Males)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 1c

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and 2011 Data Zone area: 30 June 2012 (Females)
(Excel    CSV)

Table 2a

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2012 (Persons)
(Excel)

Table 2b

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2012 (Males)
(Excel)

Table 2c

Estimated population by sex, single year of age, council area and 2011 Data Zones: 30 June 2012 (Females)
(Excel)

 

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