National Records of Scotland

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Mid-2015 population estimates Scotland and corrected population estimates for mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014

Mid-2015 population estimates Scotland and corrected population estimates for mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014

Corrected tables for mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014

Background

We became aware of errors in the mid-year population estimates for 2002 to 2014 because of an issue with an input data set used in the calculation of the mid-year estimates, as well as minor unrelated processing errors. The errors had no effect on the total population of Scotland and the 2011 mid-year population estimates were not affected. The error in the 2002 to 2010 population estimates was partly resolved by the retrospective revisions made to these estimates as a result of the 2011 Census and in conjunction with our users we decided not to make any changes to these years. More information on our approach to correcting the errors is detailed in the papers from the November 2015 meeting of the Population and Migration Statistics Committee.

For subnational areas of Scotland the errors only had a very small effect on the total population estimates for council and NHS board areas. The errors in the (total) council area populations were less than 0.10 per cent in all council areas. In percentage terms, the largest underestimate was 0.07 per cent in Angus and the largest overestimate was 0.09 per cent in Dundee City, both in 2014. In absolute terms, all errors are generally very small; the largest was an overestimate of 130 people for Dundee City.

The errors mainly affected the age distribution of the estimated population in Scotland, particularly in the age range 17 to 25. In percentage terms the largest underestimate in the total estimated population of Scotland for mid-2014 was 1.28 per cent at age 21 and the largest over estimate was 2.28 per cent at age 18.

The following document details the impact of the corrections made to the mid-2012, mid-2013 and mid-2014 estimates by age, sex and administrative area.
Corrections to the mid-2012 to mid-2014 Population Estimates for Scotland (Excel 787 Kb)

Tables

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All Tables

Mid-2014 Population Estimates Scotland
(Excel)

All Tables

Mid-2013 Population Estimates Scotland
(Excel)

All Tables

Mid-2012 Population Estimates Scotland
(Excel)

The tables are seperated out individually below and are availabe in Excel, CSV and PDF formats for mid-2014, mid-2013 and mid-2012.

Mid-2014

Table 1

Estimated population by age and sex, Scotland, mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 2

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and administrative area,
mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 3

Estimated population by sex, five year age group and administrative area, mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 4

Components of population change by administrative area, mid-2013 to
mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 5

Components of migration by administrative area, mid-2013 to mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 6

Components of population change by administrative area, mid-2004 to
mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 7

Age and sex structure of administrative areas, mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 8

Rest of UK / Overseas moves and total resident population of Scotland by age group, mid-2013 to mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 9

Land area and population density by administrative area, mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 10

Components of population change for council areas: mid-2004 to mid-2014
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Mid-2013

Table 1

Estimated population by age and sex, Scotland, mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 2

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and administrative area,
mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 3

Estimated population by sex, five year age group and administrative area, mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 4

Components of population change by administrative area, mid-2012 to
mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 5

Components of migration by administrative area, mid-2012 to mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 6

Components of population change by administrative area, mid-2003 to
mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 7

Age and sex structure of administrative areas, mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 8

Rest of UK / Overseas moves and total resident population of Scotland by age group, mid-2012 to mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 9

Land area and population density by administrative area, mid-2013
(Excel    CSV     PDF)

Table 10

Components of population change for council areas: mid-2003 to mid-2013
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Mid-2012

Table 1

Estimated population by age and sex, Scotland, mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 2

Estimated population by sex, single year of age and administrative area,
mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 3

Estimated population by sex, five year age group and administrative area, mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 4

Components of population change by administrative area, mid-2011 to
mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 5

Components of migration by administrative area, mid-2011 to mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 6

Components of population change by administrative area, mid-2002 to
mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 7

Age and sex structure of administrative areas, mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 8

Rest of UK / Overseas moves and total resident population of Scotland by age group, mid-2011 to mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

Table 9

Land area and population density by administrative area, mid-2012
(Excel    CSV     PDF)

Table 10

Components of population change for council areas: mid-2002 to mid-2012
(Excel    CSV    PDF)

 

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