National Records of Scotland

Preserving the past, Recording the present, Informing the future

Sub-National Population Projections

Sub-National Population Projections

Release dates for all projections outputs are being reviewed in conjunction with ONS, in light of the publication plans for rebased population estimates following Scotland’s 2022 census, and the 2021 censuses for England, Wales and Northern Ireland. We are currently aiming to publish national population projections in 2024. They will be followed around 5 months later by sub-national population projections. We will pre-announce our publication dates and update our release calendar in due course.

Latest

Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2018-based) Principal and variant population projections by age and sex for council, NHS Board, Strategic Development Plan and National Park areas.

Previous

Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2016-based) Principal and variant population projections by age and sex for council, NHS Board, Strategic Development Plan and National Park areas.

Archive

Historical Sub-National Population Projections data Includes historical data back to 2000 and revised 1994-based projections at council and NHS Board area level and historical Population and Household Projections for Scotland’s Strategic Development Plan Areas and Scotland's National Parks.

Uses and Limitations of Population Projections
Population projections have limitations. This section contains information about the limitations and uses of projections

Quality Assurance
Information on the quality assurance arrangements for data used in producing population projections can be found here.

Subnational Population Projections for Other UK Countries
(Office for National Statistics website (PDF) 157 KB)
Population projections are produced for similar small areas in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, however it should be noted that these projections are not directly comparable due to differences in methodology and base years. The paper above  outlines the differences in sub-national population projections across the UK.

Contact Us

Please get in touch if you need any further information, or have any suggestions for improvement.

Statistics Customer Services telephone: (0131) 314 4299
E-mail: [email protected]

Lead Statistician: Esther Roughsedge

For media enquiries, please contact [email protected]

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