National Records of Scotland

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Sub-National Population Projections

Sub-National Population Projections

Latest

Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2016-based) Principal and variant population projections by age and sex for council, NHS Board, Strategic Development Plan and National Park areas.

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Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2014-based) Includes principal and variant population projections by age and sex for council, NHS Board, Strategic Development Plan (SDP) and National Park (NP) areas. 

Archive

Historical Sub-National Population Projections data Includes historical data back to 2000 and revised 1994-based projections at council and NHS Board area level and historical Population and Household Projections for Scotland’s Strategic Development Plan Areas and Scotland's National Parks.

Uses and Limitations of Population Projections

Population projections have limitations. This section contains information about the limitations and uses of projections

Methodology

2016-based
Sub-National Population Projections for Scotland: Methodology Guide
(Adobe Acrobat Portable Document Format (PDF) 844 KB)

Subnational Population Projections for Other UK Countries
(Office for National Statistics website (PDF) 157 KB)
Population projections are produced for similar small areas in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, however it should be noted that these projections are not directly comparable due to differences in methodology and base years. The paper above  outlines the differences in sub-national population projections across the UK.

Quality assurance arrangements for administrative data
Information on the quality assurance arrangements for administrative data used in population estimates can be found in the National and Official Statistics section of the website.

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Enquiries

Please contact our Statistics Customer Services if you need any further information.
E-mail: statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk

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