National Records of Scotland

Preserving the past, Recording the present, Informing the future

The Theory and Practice of Population & Household Projections Seminar - Edinburgh, 9 November 2005

The Theory and Practice of Population & Household Projections Seminar - Edinburgh, 9 November 2005

28 November 2005


The National Records of Scotland (NRS) is responsible for producing population and household projections for Scottish local authorities and health boards. Currently NRS are reviewing the approach to the production of population and household projections. This seminar brings together the main producers of projections software in the United Kingdom along with users in local authority and government.

Among the topics covered were:

  • Population projections for the United Kingdom.
  • Overview of the range of main population projection systems used in the United Kingdom.
  • Plans for changes to population and household projections in NRS.
  • Local authority users and requirement for household and population projections.


The agenda of the seminar was:

09:30 - 10:00

Registration and coffee


10:00 - 10:15

Introduction to the day

Cecilia Macintyre (NRS)

10:15 - 11:00

The UK population projections

Chris Shaw (GAD)

11:00 - 11:45

Population and household projections for smaller areas - the theory

Phil Rees (University of Leeds)

11:45 - 12:30

A user's perspective

Jenny Boag (Falkirk Council)

12:30 - 12:45



12:45 - 13:30



13:30 - 14:00

Population projections - the practice in England & Wales

Richard Pereira (ONS)

14:00 - 14:30

Software for local authority users

Ludi Simpson (Manchester University)

14:30 - 15:00

Discussion: Local projections - top down or bottom up?

Clive Lewis (Welsh Assembly)

15:00 - 15:15



15:15 - 15:45

Reviewing household projections in Scotland & Northern Ireland

Esther Roughsedge (NRS) & David Marshall (NISRA)

15:45 - 16:30

Household projections in England & Wales

Bob Garland (ODPM) & Dave King (Anglia Polytechnic)





Please click on the links in the agenda for a synopsis on each speaker.