Please note: In smaller council areas (e.g. Shetland Islands), there are large fluctuations in the data. This is because small changes have a much larger effect in small populations than in large ones (e.g. Glasgow City).


Population Estimates

Last updated: July 2024
Likely next update: Summer 2025

Mid-2022 Population Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


On 30 June 2022, the population of East Ayrshire was 120,390. This is a decrease of 0.1% from 120,520 in 2021. Over the same period, the population of Scotland increased by 0.5%.

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East Ayrshire had the 16th highest population in 2022, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2021 and 2022, 13 councils saw a population decrease and 18 councils saw a population increase. There was 1 council that remained the same.

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Between 2001 and 2022, the population of East Ayrshire has increased by 0.1%. This is the 25th highest percentage change out of the 32 council areas in Scotland. Over the same period, Scotland’s population rose by 7.6%.

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In 2022, there were more females (51.5%) than males (48.5%) living in East Ayrshire. There were also more females (51.4%) than males (48.6%) living in Scotland overall.

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In terms of overall size, the 45 to 64 age group was the largest in 2022, with a population of 34,981. In contrast, the 16 to 24 age group was the smallest, with a population of 10,934. In 2022, more females than males lived in East Ayrshire in 4 out of 6 age groups.

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Between 2001 and 2022, the 25 to 44 age group saw the largest percentage decrease (-18.5%). The 75 and over age group saw the largest percentage increase (+35.0%).

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Population Projections

Last updated: March 2020
Likely next update: Early 2025

2018-based Population Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Between 2018 and 2028, the population of East Ayrshire is projected to decrease from 121,840 to 119,716. This is a decrease of 1.7%, which compares to a projected increase of 1.8% for Scotland as a whole.

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East Ayrshire is projected to have the 16th highest population out of the 32 council areas in Scotland in 2028. Between 2018 and 2028, 14 councils are projected to see a population decrease and 18 councils are projected to see a population increase.


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East Ayrshire is projected to have the 26th highest percentage change in population size out of the 32 council areas in Scotland.

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Over the next 10 years, the population of East Ayrshire is projected to decrease by 3.0% due to natural change (more deaths than births). Total net migration (net migration within Scotland, from overseas and from the rest of the UK) is projected to result in a population increase of 1.1% over the same period.

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The average age of the population of East Ayrshire is projected to increase as the baby boomer generation ages and more people are expected to live longer.

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Between 2018 and 2028, the 45 to 64 age group is projected to see the largest percentage decrease (-10.1%) and the 75 and over age group is projected to see the largest percentage increase (+25.3%). In terms of size, however, 45 to 64 is projected to remain the largest age group.

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Births

Last updated: July 2024
Likely next update: July 2025

2023 Births by Council Area in Scotland


In 2023, there were 1,042 births in East Ayrshire. This is an increase of 2.3% from 1,019 births in 2022. Of these 1,042 births, 520 (49.9%) were female and 522 (50.1%) were male.

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In East Ayrshire, the standardised birth rate increased from 9.3 per 1,000 population in 2022 to 9.5 in 2023. In comparison, the rate in Scotland overall decreased from 8.6 to 8.4.

In 2023, East Ayrshire was the council area with the 8th highest standardised birth rate. Between 2022 and 2023, 24 councils saw a decrease in standardised birth rate and 7 councils saw an increase. There was 1 council that saw no change.

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In 2023, the most common age group of mothers in East Ayrshire was 30 to 34 (344 births), the same as in 2003. The least common age group of mothers in East Ayrshire was 40 and over (24 births), which is the same as in 2003.

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Between 2003 and 2023, each age group decreased in size. The 0 to 19 age group has seen the largest percentage decrease in births (-65.6%).

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The total fertility rate in East Ayrshire increased from 1.47 in 2022 to 1.5 in 2023. Out of the 32 council areas in Scotland, East Ayrshire had the 7th highest rate in 2023 and this is higher than the rate of 1.3 for Scotland as a whole.

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Deaths

Last updated: July 2024
Likely next update: July 2025

2023 Deaths by Council Area in Scotland


In 2023, there were 1,618 deaths in East Ayrshire. This is a 1.4% decrease from 1,641 deaths in 2022. Of these 1,618 deaths, 827 (51.1%) were female and 791 (48.9%) were male.

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In East Ayrshire, the standardised death rate decreased from 13.2 per 1,000 population in 2022 to 13.0 in 2023. In comparison, the rate in Scotland overall in 2022 was 11.6 and remained the same in 2023.

In 2023, East Ayrshire was the council area with the 4th highest standardised death rate. Between 2022 and 2023, 14 councils saw a decrease in standardised death rate and 16 councils saw an increase. There were 2 councils that saw no change.

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Between 2003 and 2023, both female and male deaths registered in East Ayrshire have increased in number. In 2023, a higher number of female (827) than male (791) deaths were registered.

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In comparison to 2003, the number of female deaths registered in East Ayrshire in 2023 was 1.1% higher and the number of male deaths was 9.9% higher. At Scotland level, the number of female deaths registered in 2023 was 3.7% higher and the number of male deaths was 13.8% higher.

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In 2023, the 80 to 84 age group saw the highest number of total deaths (285) and the 10 to 14 age group saw the fewest (0). For females, the most common age group was 90 and over (155) and for males, the most common age group was 80 to 84 (148).

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The following leading cause of death analysis is based on a list of causes developed by the World Health Organisation (WHO). There are around 60 categories in total and cancers are grouped separately according to the type of cancer, for example, lung, breast and prostate cancer are all counted as separate causes. If all cancers were grouped together, cancer would be the leading cause of death.


In East Ayrshire, the leading cause of death for males in 2023 was Ischaemic heart diseases (17.1% of all male deaths), followed by Lung Cancer (6.2%). In Scotland overall, the leading cause of death for males was also Ischaemic heart diseases (13.8%), followed by Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease (7.1%).

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In East Ayrshire, the leading cause of death for females in 2023 was Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease (10.4% of all female deaths), followed by Ischaemic heart diseases (7.5%). In Scotland overall, the leading cause of death for females was also Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease (13.4%), followed by Ischaemic heart diseases (8.2%).

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Life Expectancy

Last updated: September 2023
Likely next update: September/October 2024

Life Expectancy in 2019-21 by Council Area in Scotland*


In East Ayrshire, life expectancy at birth was higher for females (79.3 years) than for males (74.9 years) in 2019-21. Male life expectancy at birth has increased more rapidly than female life expectancy at birth between 2001-03 and 2019-21.

In East Ayrshire, female life expectancy at birth is lower than at Scotland level and male life expectancy at birth is lower than than at Scotland level.

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, female life expectancy at birth in East Ayrshire has risen by 1.7%. This is the 27th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is lower than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+2.4%).

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, male life expectancy at birth in East Ayrshire has risen by 3.2%. This is the joint 24th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is lower than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+4.1%).

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In East Ayrshire, life expectancy at age 65-69 was higher for females (18.8 years) than for males (16.5 years) in 2019-21. Male life expectancy at age 65-69 has increased more rapidly than female life expectancy at age 65-69 between 2001-03 and 2019-21.

In East Ayrshire, female life expectancy at age 65-69 is lower than at Scotland level and male life expectancy at age 65-69 is lower than than at Scotland level.

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, female life expectancy at age 65-69 in East Ayrshire has risen by 10.3%. This is the 10th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is higher than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+8.7%).

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, male life expectancy at age 65-69 in East Ayrshire has risen by 14.6%. This is the joint 13th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is lower than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+15.3%).

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*Please note that the Scotland-level life expectancy estimate shown here is for use only as a comparator for the corresponding sub-Scotland-level figures. The definitive Scotland-level life expectancy estimate (based on national life tables) is published in the National Life Tables section of the NRS website.


Migration

Last updated: July 2024
Likely next update: Autumn 2025

Mid-2022 Migration by Council Area in Scotland


In the period 2021-22, the level of in-migration in East Ayrshire was 3,550, a 11.9% decrease from 4,030 in the period 2020-21. The level of out-migration in East Ayrshire was 2,920, which is a 11.2% decrease from 3,290 in 2020-21.

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In 2021-22, East Ayrshire had the 18th highest level of net migration out of the 32 council areas in Scotland, with a net total of 630 people. This is a decrease of 120 from 750 people in 2020-21.

Net migration is the difference between in-migration (those coming into an area) and out-migration (those leaving an area). Positive net migration means in-migration is higher than out-migration. Negative net migration means out-migration is higher than in-migration.

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*Please note that totals have been rounded to the nearest ten at council level.


In East Ayrshire, the net migration rate decreased from 6.2 people per 1,000 population in 2020-21 to 5.2 in 2021-22. In comparison, the rate in Scotland overall increased from 4.1 to 9.0 people per 1,000 population.

In 2021-22, East Ayrshire was the council area with the 17th highest net migration rate, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2020-21 and 2021-22, 20 councils saw a decrease in net migration rates per 1,000 population and 12 councils saw an increase.

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In the period 2021-22, net migration in East Ayrshire was higher for females (340) than for males (290). The age group with the highest level of total net migration was 30 to 34 (102). In contrast, the age group with the lowest level of net migration was 15 to 19 (-80).

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Marriages and Civil Partnerships

Last updated: July 2024
Likely next update: July 2025

2023 Marriages by Council Area in Scotland


In 2023, 569 marriages were registered in East Ayrshire. This is a 6.9% decrease from 611 in 2022. In comparison, the number of marriages registered in Scotland overall decreased by 10.9%.

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East Ayrshire had the 17th highest number of marriage registrations in 2023, out of the 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2022 and 2023, 28 councils saw a decrease in marriage registrations and 2 councils saw an increase. There were 2 councils that saw no change.

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2023 Civil Partnerships by Council Area in Scotland


In Scotland overall, there were 719 civil partnerships in 2023, which is an increase of 14.1% from 2022.

Since June 2021 mixed-sex couples have been able to form a civil partnership. In 2023, 4 civil partnerships were registered in East Ayrshire, of which 4 were mixed-sex and 0 were same-sex.

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East Ayrshire had the joint 25th highest number of civil partnership registrations in 2023, out of the 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2022 and 2023, 11 councils saw a decrease in civil partnership registrations and 18 councils saw an increase. There were 3 councils that saw no change.

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Household Estimates

Last updated: June 2024
Likely next update: June 2025

Mid-2023 Household Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


In 2023, the number of households in East Ayrshire was 55,811. This is a 0.6% increase from 55,479 households in 2022. In comparison, the number of households in Scotland overall increased by 0.8%.

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East Ayrshire had the 17th highest number of households in 2023, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2022 and 2023, 1 council saw a decrease in the number of households and 31 councils saw an increase.


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In comparison to 2001, the number of households in East Ayrshire has increased by 10.7%. This is the 23rd highest percentage change out of the 32 council areas in Scotland and a less rapid change than at Scotland level (+15.5%).

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Household Projections

Last updated: September 2020
Likely next update: July 2025

2018-based Household Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Between 2018 and 2028, the number of households in East Ayrshire is projected to increase from 55,107 to 55,695. This is a 1.1% increase, which compares to a projected increase of 4.9% for Scotland as a whole.

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East Ayrshire is projected to have the 17th highest number of households in 2028, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2018 and 2028, 8 councils are projected to see a decrease in the number of households and 24 councils are projected to see an increase.

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East Ayrshire is projected to have the 26th highest percentage change in household numbers out of the 32 council areas in Scotland.

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In 2028, the household type “One adult” is projected to remain the most common (35.1%) and the household type “One adult, one or more children” is projected to remain the least common (6.9%) in East Ayrshire.

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Between 2018 and 2028, the household type “Two or more adults, one or more children” is projected to see the largest percentage decrease (-7.3%) and the household type “One adult” is projected to see the largest percentage increase (+4.9%).

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Between 2018 and 2028, the 50 to 54 age group is projected to see the largest percentage decrease (-29.3%) and the 80 to 84 age group is projected to see the largest percentage increase (+35.2%). In terms of size, however, 60 to 64 is projected to become the largest age group of a Household Reference Person (HRP), compared to 50 to 54 in 2018.

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Dwellings

Last updated: June 2024
Likely next update: June 2025

2023 Dwellings by Council Area in Scotland


In 2023, the number of dwellings in East Ayrshire was 59,737. This is a 0.7% increase from 59,305 in 2022. In comparison, the number of dwellings in Scotland overall increased by 0.8%.

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East Ayrshire had the 17th highest number of dwellings in 2023, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2022 and 2023, all councils saw an increase in the number of dwellings.

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Compared with 2001, the number of dwellings in East Ayrshire has increased by 12.7%. This is the 23rd highest percentage change out of the 32 council areas in Scotland and a less rapid change than for Scotland as a whole (+17.3%).

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In East Ayrshire, Council Tax band A was most common (43.0%) in 2023, followed by Council Tax band B (15.6%). Contrastingly, Council Tax band H was the least common (0.1%). In Scotland overall, Council Tax band B was the most common, followed by A. Council Tax band H was the least common in Scotland.

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Tables


Mid-2022 Population Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


Total population, East Ayrshire, 2001-2022

View Chart

Year Population % change from 2001 Scotland % change from 2001
2001 120,310 0.0 0.0
2002 119,920 -0.3 0.0
2003 119,850 -0.4 0.1
2004 120,210 -0.1 0.4
2005 120,280 0.0 0.9
2006 120,440 0.1 1.4
2007 120,950 0.5 2.1
2008 121,600 1.1 2.7
2009 122,110 1.5 3.3
2010 122,410 1.7 3.9
2011 122,690 2.0 4.7
2012 122,610 1.9 4.8
2013 122,250 1.6 5.0
2014 121,860 1.3 5.3
2015 121,620 1.1 5.7
2016 121,570 1.0 6.1
2017 121,130 0.7 6.4
2018 120,790 0.4 6.5
2019 120,870 0.5 6.9
2020 120,360 0.0 6.9
2021 120,520 0.2 7.0
2022 120,390 0.1 7.6

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Population by age group by sex, East Ayrshire, 2022

View Chart

Age group Male Female All people % of population Scotland % of population
All people 58,335 62,055 120,390 100.0 100.0
0 to 15 10,431 9,939 20,370 16.9 16.4
16 to 24 5,531 5,403 10,934 9.1 10.7
25 to 44 13,609 14,544 28,153 23.4 25.3
45 to 64 16,783 18,198 34,981 29.1 27.5
65 to 74 6,960 7,477 14,437 12.0 11.0
75 and over 5,021 6,494 11,515 9.6 9.1

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Age group Male Female All people % of population Scotland % of population
All people 58,335 62,055 120,390 100.0 100.0
0 to 15 10,431 9,939 20,370 16.9 16.4
16 to 64 35,923 38,145 74,068 61.5 63.5
65 and over 11,981 13,971 25,952 21.6 20.1

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Percentage change in population by age group, East Ayrshire, 2001 and 2022

View Chart

Age group 2001 2022 % change Scotland % change
All people 120,310 120,390 0.1 7.6
0 to 15 23,907 20,370 -14.8 -8.1
16 to 24 12,030 10,934 -9.1 2.3
25 to 44 34,526 28,153 -18.5 -6.6
45 to 64 30,467 34,981 14.8 20.6
65 to 74 10,852 14,437 33.0 34.2
75 and over 8,528 11,515 35.0 38.1

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Age group 2001 2022 % change Scotland % change
All people 120,310 120,390 0.1 7.6
0 to 15 23,907 20,370 -14.8 -8.1
16 to 64 77,023 74,068 -3.8 5.2
65 and over 19,380 25,952 33.9 36.0

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


2018-based Population Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Total projected population, East Ayrshire, 2018-2028

View Chart

Year Population % change from 2018 Scotland % change from 2018
2018 121,840 0.0 0.0
2019 121,723 -0.1 0.3
2020 121,576 -0.2 0.5
2021 121,382 -0.4 0.7
2022 121,176 -0.5 0.9
2023 120,981 -0.7 1.1
2024 120,754 -0.9 1.2
2025 120,525 -1.1 1.4
2026 120,283 -1.3 1.5
2027 119,993 -1.5 1.7
2028 119,716 -1.7 1.8

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


Components of projected population change, East Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

View Chart

Area 2018 2028 Natural change Net migration Total change Natural % change Net migration % change Total % change
East Ayrshire 121,840 119,716 -3,614 1,368 -2,124 -3.0 1.1 -1.7
Scotland 5,438,100 5,537,116 -90,876 189,892 99,016 -1.7 3.5 1.8

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


Projected population change by sex, East Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

View Chart

Sex 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All people 121,840 119,716 -1.7 1.8
Male 59,105 58,224 -1.5 2.2
Female 62,735 61,492 -2.0 1.4

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


Projected population change by age group, East Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

View Chart

Age group 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All people 121,840 119,716 -1.7 1.8
0 to 15 21,119 19,543 -7.5 -6.0
16 to 24 12,058 11,559 -4.1 -0.9
25 to 44 28,424 28,214 -0.7 3.1
45 to 64 35,686 32,097 -10.1 -5.5
65 to 74 14,171 15,291 7.9 14.4
75 and over 10,382 13,012 25.3 25.4

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)

Age group 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All people 121,840 119,716 -1.7 1.8
0 to 15 21,119 19,543 -7.5 -6.0
16 to 64 76,168 71,870 -5.6 -1.3
65 and over 24,553 28,303 15.3 19.3

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


2023 Births by Council Area in Scotland


Births by sex, East Ayrshire, 2003-2023

View Chart
Year Male Female All births % change from 2003 Scotland % change from 2003
2003 646 590 1,236 0.0 0.0
2004 661 610 1,271 2.8 2.9
2005 635 623 1,258 1.8 3.7
2006 664 652 1,316 6.5 6.2
2007 705 599 1,304 5.5 10.2
2008 724 647 1,371 10.9 14.5
2009 677 685 1,362 10.2 12.6
2010 681 653 1,334 7.9 12.1
2011 695 667 1,362 10.2 11.7
2012 722 636 1,358 9.9 10.7
2013 690 652 1,342 8.6 6.8
2014 643 611 1,254 1.5 8.2
2015 695 632 1,327 7.4 5.1
2016 669 606 1,275 3.2 3.9
2017 609 542 1,151 -6.9 0.8
2018 588 588 1,176 -4.9 -2.1
2019 595 581 1,176 -4.9 -4.9
2020 562 548 1,110 -10.2 -11.0
2021 581 541 1,122 -9.2 -8.9
2022 523 496 1,019 -17.6 -10.4
2023 522 520 1,042 -15.7 -12.4

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.4


Standardised birth rates, East Ayrshire, 2003-2023

View Chart

Year Standardised birth rate Scottish birth rate
2003 10.9 10.3
2004 11.2 10.6
2005 11.1 10.6
2006 11.6 10.8
2007 11.5 11.2
2008 12.1 11.5
2009 11.9 11.3
2010 11.7 11.2
2011 12.0 11.1
2012 12.0 10.9
2013 12.0 10.5
2014 11.2 10.6
2015 12.0 10.3
2016 11.5 10.1
2017 10.4 9.8
2018 10.7 9.5
2019 10.6 9.2
2020 10.1 8.6
2021 10.2 8.8
2022 9.3 8.6
2023 9.5 8.4

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.8


Births by age group of mother, East Ayrshire, 2003 and 2023

View Chart

Age group of mother 2003 2023 % change Scotland % change
All ages 1,236 1,042 -15.7 -12.4
0 to 19 125 43 -65.6 -72.6
20 to 24 260 168 -35.4 -45.1
25 to 29 310 295 -4.8 -7.5
30 to 34 349 344 -1.4 1.0
35 to 39 168 168 0.0 12.3
40 and over 24 24 0.0 47.7
Not stated 0 0 NaN -88.3

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.6


Approximated total fertility rate, East Ayrshire, 2003-2023

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Year Approximated total fertility rate % change from 2003 Scotland % change from 2003
2003 1.66 0.0 0.0
2004 1.71 3.0 3.9
2005 1.70 2.4 5.3
2006 1.83 10.2 7.9
2007 1.79 7.8 11.8
2008 1.88 13.3 15.8
2009 1.85 11.4 13.8
2010 1.82 9.6 13.2
2011 1.84 10.8 11.2
2012 1.87 12.7 10.5
2013 1.86 12.0 7.2
2014 1.74 4.8 7.9
2015 1.85 11.4 4.6
2016 1.78 7.2 2.6
2017 1.62 -2.4 -0.7
2018 1.66 0.0 -3.9
2019 1.67 0.6 -6.6
2020 1.60 -3.6 -12.5
2021 1.60 -3.6 -10.5
2022 1.47 -11.4 -12.5
2023 1.50 -9.6 -14.5

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.10


2023 Deaths by Council Area in Scotland


Deaths by sex, East Ayrshire, 2003-2023

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Year Male Female All people % change from 2003 Scotland % change from 2003
2003 720 818 1,538 0.0 0.0
2004 608 751 1,359 -11.6 -3.9
2005 669 796 1,465 -4.7 -4.7
2006 639 717 1,356 -11.8 -5.8
2007 671 736 1,407 -8.5 -4.3
2008 661 728 1,389 -9.7 -4.7
2009 662 666 1,328 -13.7 -7.9
2010 608 662 1,270 -17.4 -7.7
2011 634 685 1,319 -14.2 -8.2
2012 635 672 1,307 -15.0 -6.0
2013 673 765 1,438 -6.5 -6.5
2014 659 729 1,388 -9.8 -7.2
2015 651 755 1,406 -8.6 -1.5
2016 709 744 1,453 -5.5 -3.0
2017 719 717 1,436 -6.6 -1.0
2018 744 760 1,504 -2.2 0.1
2019 747 752 1,499 -2.5 -0.6
2020 843 737 1,580 2.7 9.6
2021 822 838 1,660 7.9 8.7
2022 809 832 1,641 6.7 7.6
2023 791 827 1,618 5.2 8.5

Source: Deaths Time Series Data Table DT.5


Standardised death rates, East Ayrshire, 2003-2023

View Chart

Year Standardised death rate Scottish death rate
2003 12.8 11.5
2004 11.4 11.1
2005 12.3 10.9
2006 11.3 10.7
2007 11.7 10.8
2008 11.5 10.7
2009 11.0 10.3
2010 10.4 10.3
2011 10.7 10.1
2012 10.6 10.3
2013 11.6 10.3
2014 11.3 10.2
2015 11.4 10.8
2016 11.8 10.6
2017 11.7 10.7
2018 12.3 10.8
2019 12.2 10.7
2020 12.8 11.8
2021 13.5 11.7
2022 13.2 11.6
2023 13.0 11.6

Source: Deaths Time Series Data Table DT.9


Deaths by sex, East Ayrshire, 2003 and 2023

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Sex 2003 2023 % change Scotland % change
All people 1,538 1,618 5.2 8.5
Male 720 791 9.9 13.8
Female 818 827 1.1 3.7

Source: Deaths Time Series Data Table DT.5


Deaths by age group by sex, East Ayrshire, 2023

View Chart

Age group Male Female All people % of all deaths Scotland % of all deaths
All people 791 827 1,618 100.0 100.0
0 2 2 4 0.2 0.3
1 to 4 1 1 2 0.1 0.1
5 to 9 2 1 3 0.2 0.0
10 to 14 0 0 0 0.0 0.1
15 to 19 2 0 2 0.1 0.1
20 to 24 5 2 7 0.4 0.3
25 to 29 2 0 2 0.1 0.3
30 to 34 8 3 11 0.7 0.5
35 to 39 8 10 18 1.1 0.9
40 to 44 13 11 24 1.5 1.3
45 to 49 17 14 31 1.9 1.7
50 to 54 28 18 46 2.8 2.8
55 to 59 32 31 63 3.9 4.1
60 to 64 49 50 99 6.1 5.7
65 to 69 68 59 127 7.8 7.5
70 to 74 87 64 151 9.3 10.5
75 to 79 106 129 235 14.5 14.2
80 to 84 148 137 285 17.6 16.2
85 to 89 121 140 261 16.1 16.4
90 and over 92 155 247 15.3 17.2

Source: Vital Events Reference Tables 2023, Section 5: Deaths Table 5.02


Male leading causes of death, East Ayrshire, 2023

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Leading causes of death Male deaths % of all male deaths
I20-I25 Ischaemic heart diseases 135 17.1
C33-C34 Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung 49 6.2
J40-J47 Chronic lower respiratory diseases 46 5.8
I60-I69 Cerebrovascular disease 45 5.7
F01, F03, G30 Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease 41 5.2

Source: Vital Events Reference Tables 2023, Section 6: Deaths - Causes Table 6.03


Female leading causes of death, East Ayrshire, 2023

View Chart

Leading causes of death Female deaths % of all female deaths
F01, F03, G30 Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease 86 10.4
I20-I25 Ischaemic heart diseases 62 7.5
C33-C34 Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung 55 6.7
I60-I69 Cerebrovascular disease 50 6.0
J40-J47 Chronic lower respiratory diseases 49 5.9

Source: Vital Events Reference Tables 2023, Section 6: Deaths - Causes Table 6.03


2019-21 Life Expectancy by Council Area in Scotland


Female life expectancy at birth, East Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 77.4 78.0 78.5 0.0 0.0
2002-04 77.9 78.4 79.0 0.6 0.2
2003-05 77.4 78.0 78.5 0.0 0.5
2004-06 77.5 78.1 78.8 0.3 0.9
2005-07 77.2 77.8 78.5 -0.1 1.0
2006-08 77.7 78.3 79.0 0.5 1.2
2007-09 78.0 78.6 79.2 0.8 1.5
2008-10 78.8 79.4 80.0 1.8 1.8
2009-11 79.2 79.8 80.4 2.3 2.2
2010-12 79.6 80.2 80.8 2.8 2.4
2011-13 79.1 79.7 80.3 2.2 2.6
2012-14 79.0 79.6 80.2 2.2 2.8
2013-15 78.8 79.4 80.0 1.9 2.9
2014-16 79.3 79.8 80.4 2.4 2.9
2015-17 79.4 80.0 80.5 2.6 2.8
2016-18 79.4 80.0 80.5 2.6 2.8
2017-19 79.2 79.8 80.4 2.4 2.9
2018-20 79.2 79.8 80.4 2.4 2.7
2019-21 78.7 79.3 79.9 1.7 2.4

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Male life expectancy at birth, East Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 71.8 72.5 73.2 0.0 0.0
2002-04 72.8 73.5 74.2 1.4 0.4
2003-05 73.1 73.7 74.4 1.7 1.0
2004-06 73.8 74.5 75.1 2.7 1.5
2005-07 73.3 74.0 74.7 2.0 1.8
2006-08 73.9 74.6 75.2 2.8 2.0
2007-09 73.9 74.6 75.2 2.8 2.5
2008-10 74.8 75.4 76.0 4.0 3.1
2009-11 75.1 75.7 76.4 4.4 3.7
2010-12 75.4 76.1 76.7 4.9 4.1
2011-13 75.0 75.7 76.4 4.4 4.5
2012-14 75.1 75.8 76.5 4.5 4.9
2013-15 75.4 76.1 76.8 4.9 4.9
2014-16 75.8 76.5 77.1 5.4 4.9
2015-17 75.8 76.4 77.1 5.4 4.8
2016-18 75.4 76.0 76.6 4.8 4.8
2017-19 75.2 75.9 76.5 4.6 5.0
2018-20 74.6 75.2 75.9 3.7 4.5
2019-21 74.2 74.9 75.5 3.2 4.1

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Female life expectancy at age 65 to 69, East Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 16.7 17.1 17.4 0.0 0.0
2002-04 16.8 17.2 17.6 0.8 0.5
2003-05 16.7 17.1 17.5 0.2 1.3
2004-06 17.3 17.6 18.0 3.2 2.6
2005-07 17.3 17.7 18.0 3.4 3.3
2006-08 17.7 18.1 18.4 5.8 3.8
2007-09 17.8 18.2 18.6 6.7 4.7
2008-10 18.2 18.6 19.0 9.1 5.8
2009-11 18.5 18.9 19.3 10.7 7.3
2010-12 18.6 19.0 19.4 11.3 7.5
2011-13 18.4 18.8 19.1 9.8 8.0
2012-14 18.3 18.7 19.1 9.7 8.5
2013-15 18.0 18.4 18.8 7.8 8.7
2014-16 18.2 18.5 18.9 8.6 9.2
2015-17 18.3 18.7 19.0 9.4 8.9
2016-18 18.4 18.8 19.2 10.2 9.4
2017-19 18.5 18.9 19.3 10.6 9.8
2018-20 18.6 19.0 19.3 11.1 9.2
2019-21 18.5 18.8 19.2 10.3 8.7

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Male life expectancy at age 65 to 69, East Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 14.1 14.4 14.8 0.0 0.0
2002-04 14.6 14.9 15.3 3.5 1.1
2003-05 14.7 15.1 15.5 4.6 2.5
2004-06 15.0 15.4 15.8 6.9 4.9
2005-07 15.0 15.4 15.8 6.7 6.1
2006-08 15.3 15.7 16.1 8.6 7.4
2007-09 15.5 15.9 16.3 10.1 8.6
2008-10 15.8 16.2 16.6 12.5 10.4
2009-11 16.1 16.5 16.9 14.3 12.0
2010-12 16.5 16.9 17.3 17.3 13.2
2011-13 16.6 17.0 17.4 17.8 14.1
2012-14 16.7 17.1 17.5 18.8 15.2
2013-15 16.7 17.1 17.5 18.5 15.0
2014-16 16.6 17.0 17.3 17.6 15.5
2015-17 16.5 16.9 17.2 16.9 15.5
2016-18 16.3 16.7 17.0 15.4 16.5
2017-19 16.5 16.8 17.2 16.8 17.4
2018-20 16.3 16.7 17.0 15.4 16.3
2019-21 16.2 16.5 16.9 14.6 15.3

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Mid-2022 Migration by Council Area in Scotland


Migration by type, East Ayrshire, 2002-03 to 2021-22*

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Year In Out Net
2002-03 3,660 3,630 30
2003-04 3,660 3,290 370
2004-05 3,450 3,410 40
2005-06 3,400 3,310 90
2006-07 3,670 3,350 330
2007-08 3,790 3,240 550
2008-09 3,370 2,990 380
2009-10 3,080 3,050 30
2010-11 3,110 3,080 30
2011-12 3,100 3,220 -110
2012-13 3,250 3,300 -60
2013-14 3,230 3,320 -80
2014-15 3,360 3,390 -30
2015-16 3,460 3,400 60
2016-17 3,490 3,520 -30
2017-18 3,500 3,400 100
2018-19 3,660 3,230 430
2019-20 2,870 2,830 40
2020-21 4,030 3,290 750
2021-22 3,550 2,920 630

*Totals have been rounded to the nearest ten.

Source: Total Migration to or from Scotland


Net migration rates per 1,000 people, East Ayrshire, 2008-09 to 2021-22

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Year Net migration rate Scottish Net migration rate
2008-09 3.1 4.7
2009-10 0.2 5.0
2010-11 0.2 5.7
2011-12 -0.9 2.0
2012-13 -0.5 1.4
2013-14 -0.7 2.9
2014-15 -0.2 4.7
2015-16 0.5 5.0
2016-17 -0.2 4.2
2017-18 0.8 2.9
2018-19 3.5 5.2
2019-20 0.4 3.0
2020-21 6.2 4.1
2021-22 5.2 9.0

Sources: Migration Flows, Population Estimates Time Series Data


Net migration by age group by sex, East Ayrshire, 2021-22

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Age group Male Female All people
All people 291 340 631
0 to 4 10 42 52
5 to 9 5 21 26
10 to 14 17 18 35
15 to 19 -34 -46 -80
20 to 24 -16 -35 -51
25 to 29 15 9 24
30 to 34 40 62 102
35 to 39 12 43 55
40 to 44 29 41 70
45 to 49 37 38 75
50 to 54 43 43 86
55 to 59 47 24 71
60 to 64 28 51 79
65 to 69 46 19 65
70 to 74 6 4 10
75 to 79 12 10 22
80 to 84 -6 1 -5
85 to 89 1 -3 -2
90 and over -1 -2 -3

Source: Total Migration to or from Scotland


2023 Marriages and Civil Partnerships by Council Area in Scotland


Total marriages, East Ayrshire, 2003-2023

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Year All marriages
2003 317
2004 344
2005 371
2006 329
2007 378
2008 364
2009 331
2010 400
2011 376
2012 452
2013 412
2014 489
2015 500
2016 516
2017 484
2018 549
2019 493
2020 219
2021 443
2022 611
2023 569

Source: Marriages and Civil Partnership Time Series Data Table MT.02


Total civil partnerships, East Ayrshire, 2005-2023

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Year Male Female All civil partnerships Mixed-sex Same-sex
2005 0 0 0 NA NA
2006 4 4 8 NA NA
2007 1 1 2 NA NA
2008 0 3 3 NA NA
2009 2 3 5 NA NA
2010 1 1 2 NA NA
2011 0 3 3 NA NA
2012 3 2 5 NA NA
2013 3 3 6 NA NA
2014 4 4 8 NA NA
2015 0 0 0 NA NA
2016 0 0 0 NA NA
2017 0 0 0 NA NA
2018 0 0 0 NA NA
2019 0 0 0 NA NA
2020 1 0 1 NA NA
2021 NA NA 4 4 0
2022 NA NA 5 5 0
2023 NA NA 4 4 0

Source: Marriages and Civil Partnership Time Series Data Table MT.03


Mid-2023 Household Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


Total households, East Ayrshire, 2001-2023

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Year All households % change from 2001 Scotland % change from 2001
2001 50,402 0.0 0.0
2002 50,642 0.5 0.8
2003 50,984 1.2 1.7
2004 51,307 1.8 2.6
2005 51,496 2.2 3.6
2006 51,943 3.1 4.6
2007 52,427 4.0 5.7
2008 53,081 5.3 6.5
2009 53,521 6.2 7.2
2010 53,795 6.7 7.8
2011 53,928 7.0 8.3
2012 54,045 7.2 8.6
2013 54,254 7.6 9.1
2014 54,102 7.3 9.6
2015 54,171 7.5 10.1
2016 54,247 7.6 10.8
2017 54,270 7.7 11.4
2018 54,400 7.9 12.0
2019 54,575 8.3 12.7
2020 54,648 8.4 13.1
2021 55,120 9.4 13.8
2022 55,479 10.1 14.6
2023 55,811 10.7 15.5

Source: Estimates of Households and Dwellings in Scotland, 2023 Table 1


2018-based Household Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Total projected households, East Ayrshire, 2018-2028

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Year All households % change from 2018 Scotland % change from 2018
2018 55,107 0.0 0.0
2019 55,387 0.5 0.7
2020 55,543 0.8 1.3
2021 55,642 1.0 1.8
2022 55,757 1.2 2.5
2023 55,818 1.3 2.9
2024 55,842 1.3 3.4
2025 55,837 1.3 3.8
2026 55,796 1.3 4.2
2027 55,726 1.1 4.5
2028 55,695 1.1 4.9

Source: 2018-based Household Projections


Percentage change in projected households by household type, East Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

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Type 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All households 55,107 55,695 1.1 4.9
One adult 18,631 19,543 4.9 8.1
Two adults 17,402 18,180 4.5 7.2
One adult, one or more children 3,888 3,852 -0.9 2.2
Two or more adults, one or more children 10,051 9,320 -7.3 -0.9
Three or more adults 5,136 4,801 -6.5 -3.4

Source: 2018-based Household Projections


Percentage change in projected households by age group of the Household Reference Person (HRP), East Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

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Age group 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All HRPs 55,107 55,695 1.1 4.9
16 to 19 188 189 0.6 12.5
20 to 24 1,509 1,317 -12.8 -6.5
25 to 29 3,083 2,508 -18.6 -15.5
30 to 34 3,869 3,790 -2.1 1.3
35 to 39 4,070 4,443 9.2 13.5
40 to 44 4,007 4,521 12.8 16.6
45 to 49 5,444 4,562 -16.2 -5.9
50 to 54 6,181 4,372 -29.3 -21.4
55 to 59 5,715 5,505 -3.7 -4.1
60 to 64 4,749 5,597 17.9 16.1
65 to 69 4,180 4,619 10.5 17.5
70 to 74 3,875 3,742 -3.4 2.8
75 to 79 3,615 4,661 28.9 28.2
80 to 84 2,591 3,504 35.2 32.3
85 to 89 1,365 1,684 23.4 19.0
90 and over 665 682 2.4 27.9

Source: 2018-based Household Projections


2023 Dwellings by Council Area in Scotland


Total dwellings, East Ayrshire, 2001-2023

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Year All dwellings % change from 2001 Scotland % change from 2001
2001 52,983 0.0 0.0
2002 53,312 0.6 0.8
2003 53,499 1.0 1.5
2004 53,677 1.3 2.4
2005 53,842 1.6 3.3
2006 54,231 2.4 4.1
2007 54,848 3.5 5.2
2008 55,717 5.2 6.0
2009 56,121 5.9 6.7
2010 56,398 6.4 7.2
2011 56,614 6.9 7.8
2012 56,919 7.4 8.4
2013 57,172 7.9 8.9
2014 57,324 8.2 9.5
2015 57,654 8.8 10.2
2016 57,873 9.2 11.0
2017 58,158 9.8 11.8
2018 58,453 10.3 12.7
2019 58,628 10.7 13.6
2020 58,821 11.0 14.4
2021 58,973 11.3 15.3
2022 59,305 11.9 16.3
2023 59,737 12.7 17.3

Source: Estimates of Households and Dwellings in Scotland, 2023 Table 2


Dwellings by Council Tax band, East Ayrshire, 2023

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Tax band % of all dwellings Scotland % of all dwellings
All dwellings 100.0 100.0
A 43.0 20.2
B 15.6 22.4
C 9.7 16.1
D 12.0 13.8
E 11.5 13.7
F 6.4 8.1
G 1.8 5.2
H 0.1 0.5

Source: statistics.gov.scot


Tax band % of all dwellings Scotland % of all dwellings
All dwellings 100.0 100.0
A - C 68.3 58.7
D - E 23.5 27.5
F - H 8.2 13.8

Source: statistics.gov.scot


Dwellings by type, East Ayrshire, 2017

Type % of all dwellings Scotland % of all dwellings
All dwellings 100.0 100.0
Detached 20.2 21.5
Semi-detached 28.7 19.7
Terrace 26.3 20.5
Flat 24.7 37.7
Not known 0.1 0.7

Source: statistics.gov.scot