National Records of Scotland

Preserving the past, Recording the present, Informing the future

Population Projections Scotland

Population Projections Scotland

Changes to Publication Schedule for Population Projections 

We previously announced the publication of interim national population projections from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) for 30 January 2024 and said that these would include figures for Scotland. However, Scottish figures have not been included as part of this release. This is because reconciliation and rebasing of population statistics, including international migration statistics for 2012-2022 incorporating insights from Scotland's Census 2022, are yet to be finalised.

Figures for Scotland will be included in the full set of 2022-based national population projections for all parts of the UK which is planned for October/November 2024. 
ONS and NRS advise users to continue to use the 2020-based interim national population projections: estimated international migration variant for Scotland, published on 27 January 2023.

Interactive Charts

A visualisation comparing projection variants for Scotland and the UK is available on the Infographics and Visualisations page of this website: Projected population change for Scotland and the UK: 2020-based

Uses and Limitations of Population Projections
Population projections have limitations. This section contains information about the limitations and uses of projections.

Contact Us

Please get in touch if you need any further information, or have any suggestions for improvement.

E-mail: [email protected]

Lead Statistician: Esther Roughsedge

For media enquiries, please contact [email protected]

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